2016
|
| 24. | Singmann, Henrik; Klauer, Karl Christoph; Beller, Sieghard: Probabilistic Conditional Reasoning: Disentangling Form and Content with the Dual-Source Model. In: Cognitive Psychology, vol. 88, pp. 61-87, 2016. @article{Singmann2016,
title = {Probabilistic Conditional Reasoning: Disentangling Form and Content with the Dual-Source Model},
author = {Henrik Singmann and Karl Christoph Klauer and Sieghard Beller},
url = {http://singmann.org/download/publications/Singmann-et-al.-2016-Probabilistic-conditional-reasoning-Disentangling.pdf, published Version
https://osf.io/zcdfq/, OSF link (includes supplemental materials, all data, and scripts)
http://singmann.org/download/publications/submitted/2016_singmann_klauer_beller_nice.pdf, nice version of accepted manuscript},
year = {2016},
date = {2016-10-01},
journal = {Cognitive Psychology},
volume = {88},
pages = {61-87},
keywords = {Conditional reasoning, Dual Process Models, measurement models, mixed models, new paradigm psychology of reasoning, Probabilistic reasoning},
pubstate = {published},
tppubtype = {article}
}
|
| 23. | Gauvrit, Nicolas; Singmann, Henrik; Soler-Toscano, Fernando; Zenil, Hector: Algorithmic complexity for psychology: A user-friendly implementation of the coding theorem method. In: Behavior Research Methods, vol. 48, pp. 314-329, 2016. @article{Gauvrit2016,
title = {Algorithmic complexity for psychology: A user-friendly implementation of the coding theorem method},
author = {Nicolas Gauvrit and Henrik Singmann and Fernando Soler-Toscano and Hector Zenil},
url = {http://singmann.org/download/publications/Gauvrit-et-al.-2016-Algorithmic-complexity-for-psychology-a-user-frie.pdf, published article
http://singmann.org/download/publications/submitted/2015_gauvrit_et_al_complexity_final.pdf, final manuscript
http://arxiv.org/abs/1409.4080, on arXiv
https://github.com/singmann/acss, code on GitHub},
year = {2016},
date = {2016-04-04},
journal = {Behavior Research Methods},
volume = {48},
pages = {314-329},
keywords = {complexity, new paradigm psychology of reasoning, R, Software},
pubstate = {published},
tppubtype = {article}
}
|
| 22. | Hindriks, Frank; Douven, Igor; Singmann, Henrik: A New Angle on the Knobe Effect: Intentionality Correlates with Blame, not with Praise.. In: Mind & Language, vol. 31, no. 2, pp. 204-220, 2016. @article{Hindriks2016,
title = {A New Angle on the Knobe Effect: Intentionality Correlates with Blame, not with Praise.},
author = {Frank Hindriks and Igor Douven and Henrik Singmann},
url = {http://singmann.org/download/publications/2016-New_Angle_Knobe_Effect.pdf, published paper
http://singmann.org/download/publications/submitted/Knobe-correlations2_H_word.pdf, final manuscript},
year = {2016},
date = {2016-04-01},
journal = {Mind & Language},
volume = {31},
number = {2},
pages = {204-220},
keywords = {Intuition, Knobe Effect},
pubstate = {published},
tppubtype = {article}
}
|
| 21. | Skovgaard-Olsen, Niels; Singmann, Henrik; Klauer, Karl Christoph: The Relevance Effect and Conditionals. In: Cognition, vol. 150, pp. 26-36, 2016. @article{Olsen3999,
title = {The Relevance Effect and Conditionals},
author = {Niels Skovgaard-Olsen and Henrik Singmann and Karl Christoph Klauer},
url = {http://singmann.org/download/publications/Skovgaard-Olsen-et-al.-2016-The-relevance-effect-and-conditionals.pdf, published paper
http://singmann.org/download/publications/supplemental/The-Relevance-Effect-and-Conditionals_supplemental.pdf, supplemental materials
https://osf.io/j4swp/, data and analysis scripts (OSF)},
year = {2016},
date = {2016-03-01},
journal = {Cognition},
volume = {150},
pages = {26-36},
keywords = {Conditional reasoning, mixed models, new paradigm psychology of reasoning, Probabilistic reasoning, Reasoning},
pubstate = {published},
tppubtype = {article}
}
|
| 20. | Kellen, David; Singmann, Henrik: ROC Residuals in Signal-Detection Models of Recognition Memory. In: Psychonomic Bulletin & Review, vol. 23, no. 1, pp. 253-264, 2016. @article{Kellen3999,
title = {ROC Residuals in Signal-Detection Models of Recognition Memory},
author = {David Kellen and Henrik Singmann},
url = {http://singmann.org/download/publications/Kellen-and-Singmann-2016-ROC-residuals-in-signal-detection-models-of-recogn.pdf, publisher manuscript (large file)
http://singmann.org/download/publications/submitted/final_manuscript.pdf, accepted manuscript (small file)
https://osf.io/p2eq8/, supplemental materials (OSF)},
year = {2016},
date = {2016-02-01},
journal = {Psychonomic Bulletin & Review},
volume = {23},
number = {1},
pages = {253-264},
keywords = {mathematical modeling, measurement models, memory, mixed models, R, Signal detection},
pubstate = {published},
tppubtype = {article}
}
|
2015
|
| 19. | Klauer, Karl Christoph; Singmann, Henrik: Does Global and Local Vision Have an Impact on Creative and Analytic Thought? Two Failed Replications. In: PLoS ONE, vol. 10, no. 10, pp. e0132885, 2015. @article{Klauer2015,
title = {Does Global and Local Vision Have an Impact on Creative and Analytic Thought? Two Failed Replications},
author = {Karl Christoph Klauer and Henrik Singmann
},
url = {http://www.plosone.org/article/fetchObject.action?uri=info:doi/10.1371/journal.pone.0132885&representation=PDF, PLoS One PDF
http://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0132885, PLoS One Website
https://osf.io/ya5w9/, supplemental materials (data; analyses scripts; additional analyses; materials)},
doi = {10.1371/journal.pone.0132885},
year = {2015},
date = {2015-10-15},
journal = {PLoS ONE},
volume = {10},
number = {10},
pages = {e0132885},
keywords = {Conditional reasoning, Deductive reasoning, global versus local processing, replication},
pubstate = {published},
tppubtype = {article}
}
|
| 18. | Beller, Sieghard; Singmann, Henrik; Hüther, Lisa; Bender, Andrea: Turn around to have a look? Spatial referencing in dorsal versus frontal settings in cross-linguistic comparison . In: Frontiers in Psychology , vol. 6, no. 1283, 2015. @article{Beller2015,
title = {Turn around to have a look? Spatial referencing in dorsal versus frontal settings in cross-linguistic comparison },
author = {Sieghard Beller and Henrik Singmann and Lisa Hüther and Andrea Bender
},
url = {http://journal.frontiersin.org/article/10.3389/fpsyg.2015.01283/pdf, Frontiers pdf
http://journal.frontiersin.org/article/10.3389/fpsyg.2015.01283, Frontiers website},
doi = {10.3389/fpsyg.2015.01283 },
year = {2015},
date = {2015-09-02},
journal = {Frontiers in Psychology },
volume = {6},
number = {1283},
keywords = {frame of reference, measurement models, MPT models},
pubstate = {published},
tppubtype = {article}
}
|
| 17. | Kellen, David; Singmann, Henrik; Vogt, Jan; Klauer, Karl Christoph: Further Evidence for Discrete-State Mediation in Recognition Memory. In: Experimental Psychology, vol. 62, no. 1, pp. 40-53, 2015. @article{kellen_further_2015,
title = {Further Evidence for Discrete-State Mediation in Recognition Memory},
author = {Kellen, David and Singmann, Henrik and Vogt, Jan and Klauer, Karl Christoph},
url = {http://singmann.org/download/publications/2015_kellen_singmann_vogt_klauer.pdf, published article
https://osf.io/zadt6/, supplemental materials (data and code; on the Open Science Framework)
http://dx.doi.org/10.1027/1618-3169/a000272, link to publisher website},
year = {2015},
date = {2015-02-20},
journal = {Experimental Psychology},
volume = {62},
number = {1},
pages = {40-53},
keywords = {discrete states, mathematical modeling, measurement models, memory, MPT models, Recognition memory, Signal detection},
pubstate = {published},
tppubtype = {article}
}
|
| 16. | Klauer, Karl Christoph; Singmann, Henrik; Kellen, David: Parametric Order Constraints in Multinomial Processing Tree Models: An Extension of Knapp and Batchelder (2004). In: Journal of Mathematical Psychology, vol. 64-65, no. 1-7, 2015. @article{klauer_parametric_xxxx,
title = {Parametric Order Constraints in Multinomial Processing Tree Models: An Extension of Knapp and Batchelder (2004)},
author = {Klauer, Karl Christoph and Singmann, Henrik and Kellen, David},
url = {http://singmann.org/download/publications/2015_klauer_singmann_kellen_jmp.pdf, published article
http://singmann.org/download/publications/supplemental/2014_klauer_singmann_kellen_JMP_supp.zip, supplemental materials
http://arxiv.org/abs/1411.2571, on arXiv},
year = {2015},
date = {2015-01-01},
journal = {Journal of Mathematical Psychology},
volume = {64-65},
number = {1-7},
keywords = {mathematical modeling, measurement models, MPT models, R},
pubstate = {published},
tppubtype = {article}
}
|
2014
|
| 15. | Kellen, David; Singmann, Henrik; Klauer, Karl Christoph: Modeling source-memory overdistribution. In: Journal of Memory and Language, vol. 76, pp. 216–236, 2014. @article{kellen_modeling_2014,
title = {Modeling source-memory overdistribution},
author = {Kellen, David and Singmann, Henrik and Klauer, Karl Christoph},
url = {http://singmann.org/download/publications/Kellen%20et%20al.%20-%202014%20-%20Modeling%20source-memory%20overdistribution.pdf, published article
http://singmann.org/download/publications/data-scripts/2014_kellen_singmann_klauer.zip, individual data},
year = {2014},
date = {2014-10-01},
journal = {Journal of Memory and Language},
volume = {76},
pages = {216--236},
keywords = {Familiarity, hierarchical-Bayesian modeling, mathematical modeling, measurement models, memory, MPT models, overdistribution, source memory},
pubstate = {published},
tppubtype = {article}
}
|
| 14. | Singmann, Henrik; Klauer, Karl Christoph; Over, David E.: New normative standards of conditional reasoning and the dual-source model. In: Frontiers in Psychology, vol. 5, pp. 316, 2014, (winner of best student paper award of DFG priority programm "New frameworks of rationality"). @article{singmann_new_2014,
title = {New normative standards of conditional reasoning and the dual-source model},
author = {Henrik Singmann and Karl Christoph Klauer and David E. Over },
url = {http://singmann.org/download/publications/Singmann-Klauer-Over_2014.pdf, published article
http://singmann.org/download/publications/data-scripts/2014_singmann_klauer_over.zip, data and analysis scripts},
year = {2014},
date = {2014-01-01},
journal = {Frontiers in Psychology},
volume = {5},
pages = {316},
note = {winner of best student paper award of DFG priority programm "New frameworks of rationality"},
keywords = {coherence, Conditional reasoning, dual-source model, mathematical modeling, measurement models, mixed models, new paradigm psychology of reasoning, p-validity, Probabilistic reasoning, rationality, Reasoning},
pubstate = {published},
tppubtype = {article}
}
|
| 13. | Singmann, Henrik; Klauer, Karl Christoph; Kellen, David: Intuitive Logic Revisited: New Data and a Bayesian Mixed Model Meta-Analysis. In: PLoS ONE, vol. 9, no. 4, pp. e94223, 2014. @article{singmann_intuitive_2014,
title = {Intuitive Logic Revisited: New Data and a Bayesian Mixed Model Meta-Analysis},
author = {Singmann, Henrik and Klauer, Karl Christoph and Kellen, David},
url = {http://singmann.org/download/publications/singmann-klauer-kellen_2014.pdf, published article
http://singmann.org/download/publications/data-scripts/2014_singmann_kellen_klauer.zip, raw data and supplemental materials},
year = {2014},
date = {2014-01-01},
journal = {PLoS ONE},
volume = {9},
number = {4},
pages = {e94223},
keywords = {Dual Process Models, Fluency, Intuition, Meta Analysis, Reasoning, replication, syllogistic reasoning},
pubstate = {published},
tppubtype = {article}
}
|
| 12. | Singmann, Henrik; Kellen, David: Concerns with the SDT approach to causal conditional reasoning: a comment on Trippas, Handley, Verde, Roser, McNair, and Evans (2014). In: Frontiers in Psychology, vol. 5, pp. 402, 2014. @article{singmann_concerns_2014,
title = {Concerns with the SDT approach to causal conditional reasoning: a comment on Trippas, Handley, Verde, Roser, McNair, and Evans (2014)},
author = {Singmann, Henrik and Kellen, David},
url = {http://singmann.org/download/publications/Singmann%20und%20Kellen%20-%202014%20-%20Concerns%20with%20the%20SDT%20approach%20to%20causal%20condition.pdf, published article},
year = {2014},
date = {2014-01-01},
journal = {Frontiers in Psychology},
volume = {5},
pages = {402},
keywords = {Belief bias, Conditional reasoning, mathematical modeling, measurement models, model identifiability, Reasoning, Signal detection, syllogistic reasoning},
pubstate = {published},
tppubtype = {article}
}
|
| 11. | Ragni, Marco; Singmann, Henrik; Steinlein, Eva-Maria: Theory Comparison for Generalized Quantifiers. In: Bello, Paul; Guarini, Marcello; McShane, Marjorie; Scassellati, Brian (Ed.): Proceedings of the 36th Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society, pp. 1330–1335, Austin, TX: Cognitive Science Society, 2014. @inproceedings{ragni_theory_2014,
title = {Theory Comparison for Generalized Quantifiers},
author = {Ragni, Marco and Singmann, Henrik and Steinlein, Eva-Maria},
editor = {Bello, Paul and Guarini, Marcello and McShane, Marjorie and Scassellati, Brian},
url = {http://singmann.org/download/publications/2014_ragni_cogsci.pdf, published article},
year = {2014},
date = {2014-01-01},
booktitle = {Proceedings of the 36th Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society},
pages = {1330--1335},
publisher = {Austin, TX: Cognitive Science Society},
keywords = {logical thinking, mathematical modeling, measurement models, MPT models, Reasoning, syllogistic reasoning},
pubstate = {published},
tppubtype = {inproceedings}
}
|
2013
|
| 10. | Singmann, Henrik; Kellen, David: MPTinR: Analysis of multinomial processing tree models in R. In: Behavior Research Methods, vol. 45, no. 2, pp. 560–575, 2013, ISSN: 1554-3528. @article{singmann_mptinr:_2013,
title = {MPTinR: Analysis of multinomial processing tree models in R},
author = {Singmann, Henrik and Kellen, David},
url = {http://singmann.org/download/publications/Singmann%20&%20Kellen%20(2013)%20MPTinR.pdf, published article
http://CRAN.R-project.org/package=MPTinR, MPTinR on CRAN},
issn = {1554-3528},
year = {2013},
date = {2013-01-01},
journal = {Behavior Research Methods},
volume = {45},
number = {2},
pages = {560--575},
keywords = {Fisher information, mathematical modeling, measurement models, MPT models, R, Software},
pubstate = {published},
tppubtype = {article}
}
|
| 9. | Singmann, Henrik; Kellen, David; Klauer, Karl Christoph: Investigating the Other-Race Effect of Germans towards Turks and Arabs using Multinomial Processing Tree Models. In: Knauff, Markus; Pauen, M.; Sebanz, N.; Wachsmuth, I. (Ed.): Proceedings of the 35th Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society, pp. 1330–1335, Austin, TX: Cognitive Science Society, 2013. @inproceedings{singmann_investigating_2013,
title = {Investigating the Other-Race Effect of Germans towards Turks and Arabs using Multinomial Processing Tree Models},
author = {Singmann, Henrik and Kellen, David and Klauer, Karl Christoph},
editor = {Knauff, Markus and Pauen, M. and Sebanz, N. and Wachsmuth, I.},
url = {http://singmann.org/download/publications/SKK-CogSci2013.pdf, published article
http://singmann.org/download/publications/data-scripts/2013_singmann_kellen_klauer.zip, data and analysis script},
year = {2013},
date = {2013-01-01},
booktitle = {Proceedings of the 35th Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society},
pages = {1330--1335},
publisher = {Austin, TX: Cognitive Science Society},
keywords = {mathematical modeling, measurement models, memory, MPT models, other-race effect, Recognition memory},
pubstate = {published},
tppubtype = {inproceedings}
}
|
| 8. | Merkt, Julia; Singmann, Henrik; Bodenburg, Sebastian; Goossens-Merkt, Heinrich; Kappes, Andreas; Wendt, Mike; Gawrilow, Caterina: Flanker performance in female college students with ADHD: a diffusion model analysis. In: ADHD Attention Deficit and Hyperactivity Disorders, vol. 5, no. 4, pp. 321–341, 2013, ISSN: 1866-6116, 1866-6647. @article{merkt_flanker_2013,
title = {Flanker performance in female college students with ADHD: a diffusion model analysis},
author = {Merkt, Julia and Singmann, Henrik and Bodenburg, Sebastian and Goossens-Merkt, Heinrich and Kappes, Andreas and Wendt, Mike and Gawrilow, Caterina},
url = {http://singmann.org/download/publications/Merkt%20et%20al.%20(2013)%20-%20ADHD.pdf, published article},
issn = {1866-6116, 1866-6647},
year = {2013},
date = {2013-01-01},
journal = {ADHD Attention Deficit and Hyperactivity Disorders},
volume = {5},
number = {4},
pages = {321--341},
keywords = {ADHD, Diffusion model, Flanker task, mathematical modeling, measurement models},
pubstate = {published},
tppubtype = {article}
}
|
| 7. | Klauer, Karl Christoph; Singmann, Henrik: Does logic feel good? Testing for intuitive detection of logicality in syllogistic reasoning. In: Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition, vol. 39, no. 4, pp. 1265–1273, 2013, ISSN: 0278-7393. @article{klauer_does_2013,
title = {Does logic feel good? Testing for intuitive detection of logicality in syllogistic reasoning},
author = {Klauer, Karl Christoph and Singmann, Henrik},
url = {http://singmann.org/download/publications/Klauer%20und%20Singmann%20-%202013%20-%20Does%20logic%20feel%20good%20Testing%20for%20intuitive%20detect.pdf, published article
http://singmann.org/download/publications/data-scripts/2013_klauer_singmann.zip, data and analysis scripts},
issn = {0278-7393},
year = {2013},
date = {2013-01-01},
journal = {Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition},
volume = {39},
number = {4},
pages = {1265--1273},
keywords = {Dual Process Models, Fluency, Intuition, Reasoning, replication, syllogistic reasoning},
pubstate = {published},
tppubtype = {article}
}
|
| 6. | Kellen, David; Klauer, Karl Christoph; Singmann, Henrik: On the measurement of criterion noise in signal detection theory: Reply to Benjamin (2013). In: Psychological Review, vol. 120, no. 3, pp. 727–730, 2013, ISSN: 0033-295X. @article{kellen_measurement_2013,
title = {On the measurement of criterion noise in signal detection theory: Reply to Benjamin (2013)},
author = {Kellen, David and Klauer, Karl Christoph and Singmann, Henrik},
url = {http://singmann.org/download/publications/Kellen%20et%20al.%20-%202013%20-%20On%20the%20measurement%20of%20criterion%20noise%20in%20signal%20de.pdf, published article},
issn = {0033-295X},
year = {2013},
date = {2013-01-01},
journal = {Psychological Review},
volume = {120},
number = {3},
pages = {727--730},
keywords = {criterion noise, decision noise, mathematical modeling, measurement models, memory, Recognition memory, response criteria, Signal detection},
pubstate = {published},
tppubtype = {article}
}
|
2012
|
| 5. | Kellen, David; Klauer, Karl Christoph; Singmann, Henrik: On the measurement of criterion noise in signal detection theory: The case of recognition memory.. In: Psychological Review, vol. 119, no. 3, pp. 457–479, 2012, ISSN: 1939-1471, 0033-295X. @article{kellen_measurement_2012,
title = {On the measurement of criterion noise in signal detection theory: The case of recognition memory.},
author = {Kellen, David and Klauer, Karl Christoph and Singmann, Henrik},
url = {http://singmann.org/download/publications/Kellen%20et%20al.%20-%202012%20-%20On%20the%20measurement%20of%20criterion%20noise%20in%20signal%20de.pdf, published article
http://singmann.org/download/publications/supplemental/2013_kellen_klauer_singmann.zip, supplemental materials},
issn = {1939-1471, 0033-295X},
year = {2012},
date = {2012-01-01},
journal = {Psychological Review},
volume = {119},
number = {3},
pages = {457--479},
keywords = {criterion noise, decision noise, mathematical modeling, measurement models, memory, Recognition memory, response criteria, Signal detection},
pubstate = {published},
tppubtype = {article}
}
|
| 4. | Kappes, Andreas; Singmann, Henrik; Oettingen, Gabriele: Mental contrasting instigates goal pursuit by linking obstacles of reality with instrumental behavior. In: Journal of Experimental Social Psychology, vol. 48, no. 4, pp. 811–818, 2012, ISSN: 0022-1031. @article{kappes_mental_2012,
title = {Mental contrasting instigates goal pursuit by linking obstacles of reality with instrumental behavior},
author = {Kappes, Andreas and Singmann, Henrik and Oettingen, Gabriele},
url = {http://singmann.org/download/publications/Kappes%20et%20al.%20-%202012.pdf, published article},
issn = {0022-1031},
year = {2012},
date = {2012-01-01},
journal = {Journal of Experimental Social Psychology},
volume = {48},
number = {4},
pages = {811--818},
keywords = {Goal-directed behaviour, Mental contrasting, Obstacle, Self-regulation},
pubstate = {published},
tppubtype = {article}
}
|
2011
|
| 3. | Singmann, Henrik; Klauer, Karl Christoph: Deductive and inductive conditional inferences: Two modes of reasoning. In: Thinking & Reasoning, vol. 17, no. 3, pp. 247–281, 2011, ISSN: 1354-6783. @article{singmann_deductive_2011,
title = {Deductive and inductive conditional inferences: Two modes of reasoning},
author = {Singmann, Henrik and Klauer, Karl Christoph},
url = {http://singmann.org/download/publications/Singmann%20&%20Klauer%20(2011).pdf, published article
http://singmann.org/download/publications/data-scripts/2011_singmann_klauer.zip, data and analysis script},
issn = {1354-6783},
year = {2011},
date = {2011-01-01},
journal = {Thinking & Reasoning},
volume = {17},
number = {3},
pages = {247--281},
keywords = {Conditional reasoning, Deductive reasoning, Dual Process Models, new paradigm psychology of reasoning, Probabilistic reasoning, Reasoning, state-trace analysis},
pubstate = {published},
tppubtype = {article}
}
|
0000
|
| 2. | Gong, Tianwei; Hou, Yining; Singmann, Henrik; Bramley, Neil R.: Identifying "When" and "Whether" Causation: How People Distinguish Generation, Hastening, Prevention, and Delay. In: vol. 47, no. 0, 0000. @article{gongIdentifyingWhenWhether2025,
title = {Identifying "When" and "Whether" Causation: How People Distinguish Generation, Hastening, Prevention, and Delay},
author = {Tianwei Gong and Yining Hou and Henrik Singmann and Neil R. Bramley},
url = {https://escholarship.org/uc/item/8kj385bv},
urldate = {2026-01-23},
volume = {47},
number = {0},
abstract = {Causal relationships in the real world can have diverse mechanisms with differing statistical signatures. We investigate whether people can distinguish between causes that merely change the timing of events ("when" causes) and those that bring about or prevent those events ("whether" causes). We designed experiments where the rate of an event varies over time due to one such causal influence. Events were shown in real time in Experiment 1 and as a timeline visualization in Experiment 2. Our results suggest that people are capable of identifying "when" and "whether" causes but with a distinctive pattern of confusability: People confuse Generation with Hastening; and Prevention with Delaying. We develop a Causal Abstraction from Summarizing Events (CASE) model, which explains people's judgments as mediated by their rate-change-event detection. We discuss how this line of research can be extended to study human cognition about dynamic causal influences and its relevance to real-life judgment and decision-making.},
keywords = {},
pubstate = {published},
tppubtype = {article}
}
Causal relationships in the real world can have diverse mechanisms with differing statistical signatures. We investigate whether people can distinguish between causes that merely change the timing of events ("when" causes) and those that bring about or prevent those events ("whether" causes). We designed experiments where the rate of an event varies over time due to one such causal influence. Events were shown in real time in Experiment 1 and as a timeline visualization in Experiment 2. Our results suggest that people are capable of identifying "when" and "whether" causes but with a distinctive pattern of confusability: People confuse Generation with Hastening; and Prevention with Delaying. We develop a Causal Abstraction from Summarizing Events (CASE) model, which explains people's judgments as mediated by their rate-change-event detection. We discuss how this line of research can be extended to study human cognition about dynamic causal influences and its relevance to real-life judgment and decision-making. |
| 1. | Deans-Browne, Calvin Christopher James Lee; Roth, Pia; Echterbeck, Carolin; Singmann, Henrik: Differential Memory for Belief-Congruent versus Belief-Incongruent Arguments Cannot Explain Belief-Driven Argument Evaluation. In: vol. 47, no. 0, 0000. @article{deans-browneDifferentialMemoryBeliefCongruent2025,
title = {Differential Memory for Belief-Congruent versus Belief-Incongruent Arguments Cannot Explain Belief-Driven Argument Evaluation},
author = {Calvin Christopher James Lee Deans-Browne and Pia Roth and Carolin Echterbeck and Henrik Singmann},
url = {https://escholarship.org/uc/item/5nn3w7xz},
urldate = {2026-01-23},
volume = {47},
number = {0},
abstract = {People often rely more on their prior beliefs than the presented evidence when evaluating arguments. We investigate the cognitive mechanisms underlying this phenomenon. We hypothesise that when individuals encounter an argument that is congruent with their beliefs, it activates related information in memory. For belief-congruent arguments, people should therefore be more likely to both correctly recognise previously encountered information and incorrectly recognise new information as previously seen. To test this, we first investigated the effect of participants' beliefs about political claims on their evaluation of corresponding arguments that varied in quality. We then employed a surprise memory test to assess participants' recognition memory for these arguments. While we replicated the finding that prior beliefs drive argument evaluations, prior beliefs did not affect memory performance for all arguments in the same way. Our results indicate that individuals may use prior beliefs to aid memory only when the memory task is difficult.},
keywords = {},
pubstate = {published},
tppubtype = {article}
}
People often rely more on their prior beliefs than the presented evidence when evaluating arguments. We investigate the cognitive mechanisms underlying this phenomenon. We hypothesise that when individuals encounter an argument that is congruent with their beliefs, it activates related information in memory. For belief-congruent arguments, people should therefore be more likely to both correctly recognise previously encountered information and incorrectly recognise new information as previously seen. To test this, we first investigated the effect of participants' beliefs about political claims on their evaluation of corresponding arguments that varied in quality. We then employed a surprise memory test to assess participants' recognition memory for these arguments. While we replicated the finding that prior beliefs drive argument evaluations, prior beliefs did not affect memory performance for all arguments in the same way. Our results indicate that individuals may use prior beliefs to aid memory only when the memory task is difficult. |